your response &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
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1 122.0508 122.0508 2 123.082 1.03125 3 124.043 .9609375 4 125.1133 1.070313 5 126.2109 1.097656 6 127.2969 1.085938 7 128.3242 1.027344 8 129.3789 1.054688 9 130.457 1.078125 10 131.5469 1.089844 11 132.6328 1.085938 12 133.6836 1.050781 13 134.793 1.109375 14 135.7539 .9609375 15 136.8672 1.113281 16 137.9453 1.078125 17 138.9805 1.035156 18 140.0664 1.085938 19 141.1875 1.121094 20 142.1602 .9726563 21 143.1133 .953125 22 144.0664 .953125 23 145.082 1.015625 24 146.1953 1.113281 25 147.3945 1.199219 26 148.4023 1.007813 27 149.5703 1.167969 28 150.5938 1.023438 29 151.6914 1.097656 30 152.707 1.015625 31 154.0508 1.34375 32 154.9531 .9023438 Mean of trials: 1.061364516 Mean of samples: 1.04 Standard deviation of samples: .05 The square root of 6 is 2.45; The difference of the means is .02; .05/2.45 = .02. The difference of the means is the same as the standard deviation divided by the square root of 6. #$&* You may download the data program or run it directly from the site. Note the following: The program is in an ongoing process of development and some of the buttons might not work. However the operations you are instructed to perform below have been tested and do work. When you run the program you might encounter some message boxes at the beginning; these boxes have been inserted to prompt the inclusion of some additional features in the program. If you do encounter these message, you may safely just click through them messages until just the form appears. The program is easy to use and is very efficient for its purpose. Additional features will be added as needed. Run the program and click through any extraneous messages. (If necessary you might need to click on the maximize button to maximize the size of the form and make all the buttons visible, but this should not be an issue.) Delete all information in the textbox (you can use the Clear button near the lower right corner of the box), and copy your TIMER data into the box. You may use either the data you have retained from the TIMER program or the data as posted on your access page (data should be posted if you submitted the program in a timely fashion). Your data will be in 3 columns. Manually delete all the information except the 30 time intervals, so there are 30 lines each with a single number in the textbox, the number representing the time interval in seconds (if your original data is in a spreadsheet you could just copy the single column corresponding to the time intervals). Copy and paste these 30 lines into a separate text editor or word-processing program so you can use them again later. Click on the Mean and Standard Deviation button. A message box will appear asking you to confirm that your data is entered in the necessary format. Then the program will very quickly display the mean and standard deviation of that distribution. What are the mean and standard deviation of your 30 time intervals, as reported by the program? Report below, using two tab-delimited numbers in the first line. Starting in the next line give a brief explanation of what your numbers mean and how you obtained them. After that explanation, include a copy of your data set for reference.your response &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
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1.067 .07944 There are 30 numbers in your distribution. Their sum is 32.00 Their mean is 32.00/ 30 = 1.067. The (mean) average deviation from the mean is 0.05806. The sum of the squared deviations is .1893. The standard deviation is therefore sqrt( .1893/ 30) = .07944. 1.03125 .9609375 1.070313 1.097656 1.085938 1.027344 1.054688 1.078125 1.089844 1.085938 1.050781 1.109375 .9609375 1.113281 1.078125 1.035156 1.085938 1.121094 .9726563 .953125 .953125 1.015625 1.113281 1.199219 1.007813 1.167969 1.023438 1.097656 1.015625 1.34375 #$&* Investigate 'first differences' of 30-interval data Now restore your original 30 time intervals to the box. You will have to do this manually, clearing the contents of the box and then copying and pasting the data from the text editor or word processor where you stored it before. Make sure your data also stays in that location, because you'll need it at least once again. Click on the First Difference button. You will see a report of the differences between your successive time intervals. Give the first three differences below, in the first line in comma-delimited format. Starting at the second line answer the two questions: Are all the differences between your time intervals all different, or do some occur more than once? Where have you see this information before and what does it mean?your response &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
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-.07031. .1094, 0.02734 The differences are all different. I do not recall finding the differences between the elapsed times before; however it looks like it is taking the elapsed time for each cycle and finding the differences. #$&* Sum your 30 time intervals and speculate on meaning Restore your original 30 intervals to the box. Click on the Running Sum button. Scroll down and take a quick look at the entire report. Give your first three running sums below, in the first line in comma-delimited format. Starting at the second line, explain how you think these numbers were calculated from the time intervals, and what these numbers might mean.your response &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
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1.031, 1.992, 3.063 They added the time intervals to obtain the elapsed time for the cycles. This means that for 2 cycles, it took a total of 1.992 seconds. Three cycles took a total of 3.063 seconds. #$&* Analyze the first difference of the running sums, and the first difference of this result Delete everything but the single-column report of the running sums, so the data box contains just the running sums with one sum on each line, and click on the 'first difference' button. Report your first three new numbers below, in the first line in comma-delimited format. Describe what you see and what might be the meaning of the new numbers. Suggestion: look at your original 30 time intervals. How do you think the new numbers were calculated, where have you seen them before, and why do they come out the way they do?your response &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
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.961, 1.071, 1.097 These are the 2nd, 3rd and 4th numbers of the original data, rounded to the nearest thousandth. #$&* Again isolate only the single-column report and again click on First Differences. Report your first three new numbers below, in the first line in comma-delimited format. How do you think the new numbers were calculated, where have you seen them before, and why do they come out the way they do?your response &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
(start in the next line):
.961, 1.071, 1.097 These seem to be the differences of the differences. You get them by subtracting the two numbers that are above/below each other. These are numbers 3, 4, and 5 from my original data. #$&* Find difference quotients for a new set of data and speculate on the meaning of the difference quotient Clear the box then copy the following 4 lines into the textbox: 0, 0 10,10 20,25 30,45 Click on the Difference Quotient button. Report below the three new numbers you see, reporting your numbers in the first line in comma- delimited format. In the second line speculate on how the program might have calculated these numbers.your response &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
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1, 1.5, 2 The top row subtracted from the row below it: 10-0 = 10 and 10 - 0 = 10. 10/10 = 1 The 2nd row subtracted from the row below it: 20-10=10 and 25-10 = 15. 15/10=1.5 The third row subtracted from the row below it: 30-20 = 10 and 45-25 = 20. 20/10=2 #$&* The information in the table 0, 0 10,10 20,25 30,45 represents the position of an object rolling down an incline vs. clock time, with position in meters and clock time in seconds. Recall that according to our 'y vs. x' convention, in a position vs. clock time table the clock time is in the first column. How far did the object travel in the first time interval? How much time elapsed while it traveled through this distance? What therefore was its average speed during this time interval? Report your numerical answers to these three questions in the first line below, in comma-delimited format. Answer the same questions for the second time interval, and report in the second line, using the same format as in the first. Answer the same questions for the third time interval, and report in the third line, using the same format as in the first. Starting in the fourth line, explain how you obtained your results. Then explain once more what the 'difference quotient' operation does to two columns of numbers.your response &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
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10, 10, 1 10, 15, 1.5 10, 20, 2 The top row subtracted from the row below it: 10-0 = 10 and 10 - 0 = 10. 10/10 = 1 The 2nd row subtracted from the row below it: 20-10=10 and 25-10 = 15. 15/10=1.5 The third row subtracted from the row below it: 30-20 = 10 and 45-25 = 20. 20/10=2 The difference quotient operation will subtract the first set of data from the second set of data, to obtain two differences, and then divide them to find the average velocity (in this case). #$&* Select and analyze 5 random intervals from 30-interval data, using the data program to find mean and standard deviation Using a coin according to the following instructions, you will now select 5 intervals randomly from your 3-interval data. You will do this by generating 5 numbers corresponding to the numbers of your data point. The process should take only a couple of minutes: Using the coin you will generate a series of numbers between 0 and 31. Note that there are 32 numbers between 0 and 31. This process can generate 32 possible numbers. If you generate a number you have generated before you will discard it and generate an alternative. If you generate a number that does not correspond to one of your intervals (probably 1- 20 or 1-19) you will discard that number. You will continue until you have generated 5 numbers that haven't been discarded. To generate each number will require 5 flips of your coin. You will write down 5 numbers. Your first flip is worth 1. Flip the coin. If you get Heads write down the number 1. If you get tails write down 0. Whichever number you write down will be at the top of a column. Your second flip is worth 2. Flip the coin a second time. If you get Heads write down the number 2. If you get tails write down 0. This number does in the column below the previous. The third, fourth, and fifth flips are respectively worth 4, 8 and 16 on Heads, 0 if you get Tails. You should now have five numbers in your column. Add them up. The result will be not less than 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 and not more than 1 + 2 + 4 + 8 + 16 = 31. Go ahead and generate your first number according to these instructions. If the number is between 1 and the number of intervals you observed (e.g., between 1 and 30, or between 1 and 29), circle the number. Now generate another number, using the same procedure with 5 flips of the coin. If this number is between 1 and your number of intervals (e.g., between 1 and 30), and if it does not duplicate the first number you generated, circle it. Continue this process, generating totals between 0 and 31 and circling those that lie in the correct range and do not duplicate any your previous numbers. Stop when you have generated 5 distinct numbers within the appropriate range. Now select the time intervals corresponding to the numbers you have generated (e.g., if you had a 30-interval set and your numbers were 23, 8, 11, 19, 5 and 22 you would select the 23d, 8th, 11th, 19th, 5th and 22d time intervals). Clear, then put these 5 time intervals into the textbox. Note that you will put time intervals into the textbox, not the numbers you have generated between 0 and 31. Click on the Mean and Standard Deviation button. In the first line below, report the five random numbers you generated, in comma delimited format. In the second line below, report the five time intervals you put into the box, in comma delimited format. In the third line, report the mean and the standard deviation in comma-delimited format. Starting in the fourth line give a brief explanation of what your numbers mean and they were obtained. Optional comments may be added.your response &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
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15, 22, 29, 25, 8 1.113281, .953125, 1.097656, 1.199219, 1.054688 1.084, 0.18 The numbers are 5 random samples taken from the data. The 1.084 is their mean, or average. The 0.08986 is the standard deviation. The standard deviation tells how far away from the average a data point might be. A standard deviation of .18 means that one standard deviation away from the average will be plus or minus .18. Two standard deviations away from the average will be plus or minus .36. #$&* In three lines report the following numbers: By how much does the mean of your 5-interval sample differ from the mean of the entire data set of 30 intervals? What is the standard deviation of the 30-interval set? What is the first number you reported as a percent of the second. That is, what is the difference between your sample and the entire data set, as a percent of the standard deviation of the data set? Starting in the fourth line give a brief explanation of what your numbers mean and how you obtained themyour response &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
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The mean of the 5-interval set is 1.084. The mean of the the data set of 30 intervals was 1.061. This is a difference of .023. The first number is 102% of the second number. The difference between the mean of the 30 data points and the 5-interval set is .024. This number is 13% of the standard deviation of .18. #$&* Analyze a set of 'made-up' time intervals and look at their distribution The set of numbers given below represents a set of 30 'made-up' quick-click time intervals. You will answer a few questions about this data set, including the mean and standard deviation of a 5-interval random sample. Later the results of all students will be compiled and used to demonstrate the 'sample standard deviation', which is an important statistical characteristic of sample and very relevant to interpretation of experimental results. .1752 .172 .1979 .1991 .176 .1711 .1664 .1665 .1858 .1764 .1765 .1885 .173 .1853 .1683 .1674 .1833 .1632 .1783 .1962 .1704 .1914 .1751 .1715 .1967 .1852 .1851 .1771 .1639 .1824 .1877 Copy these numbers into a cleared textbox, click on Mean and Standard Deviation, and report their mean and standard deviation in comma-delimited format in the first line below. Starting in the next line give a brief explanation of what your numbers mean and how you obtained them.your response &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
(start in the next line):
.1791, 0.01025. The mean is the average of the numbers in the set. The standard deviation is obtained by finding how far each data point is from the mean, squaring that absolute value, adding those squared numbers, dividing them by the number of items in the data, and then taking the square root of that quotient. #$&* below, enter the following numbers, one to a line, in the given order: The number which is two standard deviations less than the mean. The number which is one standard deviation less than the mean. The number which is equal to the mean. The number which is one standard deviation more than the mean. The number which is two standard deviations more than the mean. Starting in the next line give a brief explanation of what your numbers mean and how you obtained themyour response &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
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.1528 .16885 .1791 .18935 .1996 I figured out that 2 standard deviations would mean .0205, so I subtracted that from the mean to get the first number and added it to get the last. I took .1791, which is the mean, and subtracted .01025 from it for the second number. I added them for the fourth number. #$&* below, report each of the following numbers, one number to each line: The number of the 30 time intervals which are less than the number which is two standard deviations less than the mean. The number of the 30 time intervals which lie between two standard deviations less than the mean and one standard deviation less than the mean. The number of the 30 time intervals which lie between one standard deviation less than the mean and the mean. The number of the 30 time intervals which lie between the mean and one standard deviation more than the mean. The number of the 30 time intervals which lie between one standard deviation more than the mean and two standard deviations more than the mean. The number of the 30 time intervals which are greater than the number which is two standard deviations more than the mean. Starting in the 7th line give a brief explanation of what your numbers mean and how you obtained them; as usual you may include optional comments.your response &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
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0 6 12 8 5 0 Two standard deviations is 0.0205. I took the mean of .1791 and subtracted 0.0205. I looked for any numbers that were less than .1586. Then I subtracted .01025 from .1791 and looked for any numbers less than .16885 (that I had not already marked off). Next I checked to see if any of the numbers were exactly .1791. Then I added .1791 and .01025 and looked for number less than .18935 that had not already been marked off. Next, I added .1791 and .0205 and looked for any numbers less than .1996 that had not been used. Finally, I double checked that I had accounted for all of the numbers in my data. #$&* below, report each of the numbers you reported above, but expressed as a percent of the 30 intervals (rounded to the nearest percent). For example, the number 10 would be 33% of 30. Include a brief explanation of what your numbers mean and how you obtained themyour response &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
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0% 19% 39% 26% 16% 0% I divided the number of data points that fit each category above by 30 to find the percent of data in each category. So, in the category of numbers that were between the mean and 1 standard deviation less than the mean, there were 6 numbers. 6 divided by 31 (the number of time intervals given) is 19%. I then checked to be sure I had accounted for 100% of the data. #$&* Perform a similar analysis with your 30-interval data Return to your own 30 time intervals. Count the numbers in each range (less than mean - 2 std dev, between mean - 2 std dev and mean - 1 std dev, between mean - 1 std dev and mean, etc.), using the mean and standard deviation of that data set. Report each number as a percent of your total number of intervals, one number in each of the first six lines below. Starting in the 7th line give a brief explanation of what your numbers mean and how you obtained themyour response &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
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0% 17% 30% 43% 7% 3% I counted the number of data points in each category. I divided each number by 30 (the total number of data points collected) to get the percents. I double checked that I had accounted for 100% of the data. #$&* In a standard 'normal' distribution, we expect that the respective percents in the six ranges will be about 2%, 14%, 34%, 34%, 14% and 2%. In a very large sample of data (say, at least tens of thousands of data points), if the data are in fact distributed normally, we expect actual results to very nearly reflect this distribution. If a large distribution does not closely match the expected results, we suspect that something in the system or in our observation process in fact deviates from the 'standard normal' expectation. Not everything we observe does in fact follow the standard normal pattern. You 3-interval results might or might not be expected to follow a standard normal distribution. If the data sample is not very large, there may of course be chance fluctuations in the distribution and the percents may not be all that close to the expected distribution. In a medium-sized sample of 30 or so, we definitely expect more observations to lie in the middle two ranges and in either of the outer ranges, and we aren't too surprised if no results at all appear in the outermost ranges (more than 2 standard deviations from the mean). Based on the percents you reported and the percents quoted above, by how much would you say your actual 30-interval results deviated from the standard normal distribution? Did your results deviate enough to make you suspect that your clicks were not normally distributed about their mean?your response &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
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I was close on 4 of the 6 intervals. My second 34% was actully 43%, and the second 14% was 7% in mine, but for this small sample, I think that it was very close to what I should have seen. #$&* Answer the same question for the 30 made-up time intervals given earlier.your response &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
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The made up was also somewhat close. The normal had 2% at each end, and mine did not. The middles were off somewhat, but the two inner amounts were more than the their adjacent intervals. #$&* Compare your distribution with the standard normal distribution We will in a subsequent exercise learn to sketch a standard normal curve, and to represent our information using this sketch. For the present, simply copy this figure below and label it as indicated below: There are five vertical lines on the graph, representing respectively mean - 2 * std dev, also labeled z = -2 mean - 1 * std dev, also labeled z = -1 mean - std dev, also labeled z = 0 mean + 1 * std dev, also labeled z = 1 mean + 2 * std dev, also labeled z = 2. Label the x axis with the z numbers -2, -1, 0, 1 and 2. Below these labels, place the respective numbers you obtained earlier for your 30- interval results, the numbers corresponding to mean - 2 * std dev, mean - 1 * std dev, etc.. The five lines divide the region between the curve and the x axis into six smaller regions. Each of these regions will include either 2%, 14% or 34% of the total area between the curve and the x axis. Within each region, write the percent that indicates its area as a percent of the total. below: Indicate in the first line in comma-delimited format the percents you placed in the regions, from left to right. Indicate in the second line the x-axis labels corresponding to z = -2, -1, 0, 1 and 2. Starting in the third line give a brief explanation of what your numbers mean and how you obtained them.your response &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
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0, 17, 30, 43, 7, 3 0, 5, 9, 3, 2, 1 The first line has the percentages for each section of the graph, from left to right. These represent the percentages of my data for each interval: more than 2 standard deviations less than the mean, between 1 & 2 standard deviations less than the mean, between the mean and one standard deviation less than the mean, between the mean and one standard deviation more than the mean, between 1 and 2 standard deviations above the mean, and more than 2 standard deviations above the mean. The second line is the actual number of data point in each category. #$&* self-critique #$&* #$&* self-critique self-critique rating rating #$&*: