Query 2

#$&*

course Mth 163

1-21-13 8:10My mom has been wanting me to tell you that she is Colleen Buchanan.

This assignment consisted of the worksheets

• Overview and Introduction: The Modeling Process applied to Flow From a Cylinder and

• Completion of the Introductory Flow Model.

Students (often including some of the very best students, so there's no shame in it if this applies to you) frequently tell the instructor that they don't know where to find the data for some of these problems. This is usually because they have missed the instruction to do the second of these worksheets, which would include the exercises at the end of the worksheet.

If you find that you are among these students, go ahead and complete the parts of this 'query' that are based on the work you have completed, and submit that part. Then before completing and submitting the rest, simply go back and complete the second worksheet.

Within the worksheet entitled 'Overview and Introduction: The Modeling Process applied

to Flow From a Cylinder' are data for the temperature model and a series of instructions

for constructing and assessing your model.

At the end of the worksheet entitled 'Completion of the Introductory Flow Model' are two

data sets, which correspond to the other problems in the Query.

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Question: `qAssignment 2

For the temperature vs. clock time model, what were temperature and time for the first, third and fifth data points (express as temp vs clock time ordered pairs)?

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Your solution:

For the hot potato vs. time the first point is (0,95) (20,60) and (40,41)

confidence rating #$&*: 1

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Given Solution:

** Continue to the next question **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating: ok

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Question: `qAccording to your graph what would be the temperatures at clock times 7, 19 and 31?

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Your solution:

(7, 78) (19, 62) (31, 47)

confidence rating #$&*: 1

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

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Given Solution:

** Continue to the next question **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating: 0k

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Question: `qWhat three points did you use as a basis for your quadratic model (express as ordered pairs)?

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Your solution:

(20,60) (40,41) (60,30)

confidence rating #$&*: 2

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Given Solution:

** A good choice of points `spreads' the points out rather than using three adjacent points. For example choosing the t = 10, 20, 30 points would not be a good idea here since the resulting model will fit those points perfectly but by the time we get to t = 60 the fit will probably not be good. Using for example t = 10, 30 and 60 would spread the three points out more and the solution would be more likely to fit the data. The solution to this problem by a former student will be outlined in the remaining nswers'.

STUDENT SOLUTION (this student probably used a version different from the one you used; this solution is given here for comparison of the steps, you should not expect that the numbers given here will be the same as the numbers you obtained when you solved the problem.)

For my quadratic model, I used the three points

(10, 75)

(20, 60)

(60, 30). **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating: ok

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Question: `qWhat is the first equation you got when you substituted into the form of a quadratic?

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Your solution:

60=a20^2+b20+c

60= 400a+20b+c

confidence rating #$&*: 2

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: The equation that I got from the first data point (10,75) was 100a + 10b +c = 75.**

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

Self-critique Rating: ok

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Question: `qWhat is the second equation you got when you substituted into the form of a quadratic?

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Your solution:

41=a40^2+b40+c

41= 1600a+40b+c

confidence rating #$&*: 2

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: The equation that I got from my second data point was 400a + 20b + c = 60 **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating: ok

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Question: `qWhat is the third equation you got when you substituted into the form of a quadratic?

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Your solution:

30=a60^2+b60+c

30=3600a+60b+c

confidence rating #$&*: 3

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: The equation that I got from my third data point was 3600a + 60b + c = 30. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating: ok

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Question: `qWhat multiple of which equation did you first add to what multiple of which other equation to eliminate c, and what is the first equation you got when you eliminated c?

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Your solution:

I subtracted my first equation from my second equation.

41=1600a+40b+c

-60=-400a-20b-c

-19=1200a=20b

confidence rating #$&*: 2

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: First, I subtracted the second equation from the third equation in order to eliminate c.

By doing this, I obtained my first new equation

3200a + 40b = -30. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating:

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Question: `qTo get the second equation what multiple of which equation did you add to what multiple of which other quation, and what is the resulting equation?

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Your solution:

I subtracted the first equation from the third equation and eliminated c.

30=3600a+60b+c

-60=-400a-20b-c

-30=3200a+40b

confidence rating #$&*: 2

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: This time, I subtracted the first equation from the third equation in order to again eliminate c.

I obtained my second new equation:

3500a + 50b = -45**

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating: ok

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Question: `qWhich variable did you eliminate from these two equations, and what was the value of the variable for which you solved these equations?

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Your solution:

I eliminated b by doing the following:

-19= 1200a+20b (2)

-30=3200a+40b

-30=3200a+40b

- -38=2400a+40b

8=800a

A=8/800

A=1/100

confidence rating #$&*: 2

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: In order to solve for a and b, I decided to eliminate b because of its smaller value. In order to do this, I multiplied the first new equation by -5

-5 ( 3200a + 40b = -30)

and multiplied the second new equation by 4

4 ( 3500a + 50b = -45)

making the values of -200 b and 200 b cancel one another out. The resulting equation is -2000 a = -310. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating: ok

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Question: `qWhat equation did you get when you substituted this value into one of the 2-variable equations, and what did you get for the other variable?

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Your solution:

30=-3200(1/100)-40b

30=-32-40b

62=-40b

B=-31/20

confidence rating #$&*: 3

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: After eliminating b, I solved a to equal .015

a = .015

I then substituted this value into the equation

3200 (.015) + 40b = -30

and solved to find that b = -1.95. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating: ok

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Question: `qWhat is the value of c obtained from substituting into one of the original equations?

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Your solution:

30=3600(1/100)+60(-31/20)+c

30=36-93+c

30=-57+c

87=c

confidence rating #$&*:: 3

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: By substituting both a and b into the original equations, I found that c = 93 **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating: ok

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Question: `qWhat is the resulting quadratic model?

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Your solution:

Y=(1/100)x^2+(-31/20)x+87

confidence rating #$&*: 3

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: Therefore, the quadratic model that I obtained was

y = (.015) x^2 - (1.95)x + 93. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating: ok

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Question: `qWhat did your quadratic model give you for the first, second and third clock times on your table, and what were your deviations for these clock times?

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Your solution:

Clock Time Temperature prediction Deviation

7 76.64 78 1.36

19 61.16 62 0.84

31 48.56 47 1.56

confidence rating #$&*: 2

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: This model y = (.015) x^2 - (1.95)x + 93 evaluated for clock times 0, 10 and 20 gave me these numbers:

First prediction: 93

Deviation: 2

Then, since I used the next two ordered pairs to make the model, I got back

}the exact numbers with no deviation. So. the next two were

Fourth prediction: 48

Deviation: 1

Fifth prediction: 39

Deviation: 2. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating: ok

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Question: `qWhat was your average deviation?

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Your solution:

1.2533333

confidence rating #$&*: 2

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: My average deviation was .6 **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating: ok

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Question: `qIs there a pattern to your deviations?

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Your solution:

The pattern goes from in the ones to in the zeros back to the ones.

confidence rating #$&*:: 2

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: There was no obvious pattern to my deviations.

INSTRUCTOR NOTE: Common patterns include deviations that start positive, go negative in the middle then end up positive again at the end, and deviations that do the opposite, going from negative to positive to negative. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating:

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Question: `qHave you studied the steps in the modeling process as presented in Overview, the Flow Model, Summaries of the Modeling Process, and do you completely understand the process?

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Your solution:

I have read the process several times and I understand it completely.

confidence rating #$&*: 3

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: Yes, I do completely understand the process after studying these outlines and explanations. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating: ok

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Question: `qHave you memorized the steps of the modeling process, and are you gonna remember them forever? Convince me.

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Your solution:

Yes I do have this memorized and I used music in the form of Twinkle, Twinkle Little Star and here are my lyrics. And if you can imagine, my mom hummed while I matched lyrics to the song.

Twinkle, twinkle little star Orient and make your predictions

How I wonder what you are Observe, and set up, and take data

Up above the world so high Organize data in a chart

Like a diamond in the sky Graph the data x and y

Twinkle, twinkle little star Make your postulate with the quadratic function

How I wonder what you are. And select your representative points

Twinkle, twinkle little star Obtain an equation for each point

How I wonder what you are Solve the system of equations

Up above the world so high Substitute in parameters

Like a diamond in the sky Graph the model x and y

Twinkle, twinkle little star Quantify the comparison

How I wonder what you are. And answer questions and relate to the world.

confidence rating #$&*: 10

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: Yes, sir, I have memorized the steps of the modeling process at this point. I also printed out an outline of the steps in order to refresh my memory often, so that I will remember them forever!!!

INSTRUCTOR COMMENT: OK, I'm convinced. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

I believe that my mnemonic device will definitely convince you.

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Self-critique Rating: ok

@&

I'm convinced, and delighted. That's wonderful.

*@

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Question: `qQuery Completion of Model first problem: Completion of model from your data.Give your data in the form of depth vs. clock time ordered pairs.

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Your solution:

For the Flow Experiment I took a 68 fluid ounce bottle and lined a ruler up on the side. Every ten seconds I recorder what the level of the water was.

Time Depth

0 6in.

10 5.625 in.

20 5.25

30 5

40 4.75

50 4.5

60 4.25

70 4.125

80 4

90 3.75

100 3.5

110 3.25

120 3.125

130 3

confidence rating #$&*: 2

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION: Here are my data which are from the simulated data provided on the website under randomized problems.

(5.3, 63.7)

(10.6. 54.8)

(15.9, 46)

(21.2, 37.7)

(26.5, 32)

(31.8, 26.6). **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating:

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Question: `qWhat three points on your graph did you use as a basis for your model?

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Your solution:

The three points that I used were (30,5) (80,4) and (130,3)

confidence rating #$&*: 2

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: As the basis for my graph, I used

( 5.3, 63.7)

(15.9, 46)

(26.5, 32)**

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating: ok

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Question: `qGive the first of your three equations.

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Your solution:

(30,5)

5=a30^2=b30+c

5=900a+30b+c

confidence rating #$&*:

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: The point (5.3, 63.7) gives me the equation 28.09a + 5.3b + c = 63.7 **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating: ok

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Question: `qGive the second of your three equations.

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Your solution:

(80,4)

4=a80^2+b80+c

4=6400a+80b+c

confidence rating #$&*: 3

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: The point (15.9, 46) gives me the equation 252.81a +15.9b + c = 46 **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating: ok

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Question: `qGive the third of your three equations.

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Your solution:

(130,3)

3=a130^2+b130+c

3=16900a+130b+c

confidence rating #$&*: 3

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: The point (26.5,32) gives me the equation 702.25a + 26.5b + c = 32. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

Ok

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Self-critique Rating: ok

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Question: `qGive the first of the equations you got when you eliminated c.

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Your solution:

-5=-900-30-c

4=6400a+80b+c

-1=5500a+50b

confidence rating #$&*: 3

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: Subtracting the second equation from the third gave me 449.44a + 10.6b = -14. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating: ok

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Question: `qGive the second of the equations you got when you eliminated c.

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Your solution:

-5=-900a-30b-c

3=16900a+130b+c

-2=16000a+100b

confidence rating #$&*: 3

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: Subtracting the first equation from the third gave me 674.16a + 21.2b = -31.7. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating:

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Question: `qExplain how you solved for one of the variables.

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Your solution:

To solve for a I did the following:

-1=5500a+50b (-2)

-2=16000a+100b

+2=-11000a-100b

0=5000a

0=a

confidence rating #$&*: 2

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: In order to solve for a, I eliminated b by multiplying the first equation by 21.2, which was the b value in the second equation. Then, I multiplied the seond equation by -10.6, which was the b value of the first equation, only I made it negative so they would cancel out. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

Ok

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Self-critique Rating: ok

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Question: `qWhat values did you get for a and b?

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Your solution:

A=0

B=-1/50

confidence rating #$&*: 2

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: a = .0165, b = -2 **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating: 0k

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Question: `qWhat did you then get for c?

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Your solution:

4=6400*0+80*-1/50+c

4=-4/25+c

C=-25

confidence rating #$&*: 2

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: c = 73.4 **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating: ok

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Question: `qWhat is your function model?

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Your solution:

Y=(0)x^2+(-1/50)x+(-25)

confidence rating #$&*:3

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: y = (.0165)x^2 + (-2)x + 73.4. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating: ok

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Question: `qWhat is your depth prediction for the given clock time (give clock time also)?

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Your solution:

Depth for clock time of 46= 4.625in.

confidence rating #$&*:

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: The given clock time was 46 seconds, and my depth prediction was 16.314 cm.**

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

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Self-critique Rating: ok

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Question: `qWhat clock time corresponds to the given depth (give depth also)?

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Your solution:

14cm or 5.5in depth= no solution.

confidence rating #$&*:

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Given Solution:

** INSTRUCTOR COMMENT: The exercise should have specified a depth.

The specifics will depend on your model and the requested depth. For your model y = (.0165)x^2 + (-2)x + 73.4, if we wanted to find the clock time associated with depth 68 we would note that depth is y, so we would let y be 68 and solve the resulting equation:

68 = .01t^2 - 1.6t + 126

using the quadratic formula. There are two solutions, x = 55.5 and x = 104.5, approximately. **

STUDENT QUESTION

I have done what I could with the completion of flow model page 7 directions when I hit the sqrt

button on calculator so sqrt -.652 I would get (0,.807465169527) I do not remember ever doing a problem with 0,.8…. so I

hope I used the correct numbers to solve the rest of quad equation using quad formula

INSTRUCTOR RESPONSE:

Short answer:

The square root of a negative isn't a real number, so there is no solution to the equation for your given depth. Your calculator indicated a complex-number solution.

Longer answer:

The square root of a negative number is an imaginary number; the result you got is a point in the complex-number plane, on the imaginary axis. You might not understand what that means, but the point is that there is no real-number solution. You can't square a real number and get a negative, so the square root of a negative isn't a real number.

What this means is that the equation has no real-number solution. There is no clock time t for which the depth takes the y value you used in the equation.

In terms of the graph, note that the graph of the quadratic function is a parabola, which opens upward. So there are y values that lie completely below the parabola. If you try to solve the quadratic for one of these y values, you won't get a solution.

This sort of thing can certainly happen with a mathematical model. When it does, the answer is simply that there is no such solution.

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Self-critique (if necessary):

I have just now realized that a obviously cannot be equal to zero because you cannot have a zero in the denominator. I realize my mistake and I should have chosen a different point to represent my equation.

Because I want to go at this problem a different way, I am going to work it on a graphing calculator. When I complete this on a graphing calculator this is how my process works:

Stats mode

Type in all of my coordinates from the experiment I performed.

I graph the data

I calculate the data from the graph in x^2 form

I get the formula y=ax^2+bx+c

I fill in the data which gives me: .0000635x^2-0.030594x+5.9116

From there I can tell that when time is 46 depth is about 4.6in.

And then I can tell that when the depth is 5.5in time is 14.1 and 460.31

I know that my data is crazy! I am not sure what went wrong in my experiment.

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Self-critique Rating: ok

@&

Your three points

(30,5) (80,4) and (130,3)

all lie on a straight line; from each point to the next the rise is -1 and the run is 50.

This will result in a linear equation, which is exactly what the form

y = a x ^ 2 + b x + c

gives you if a = 0.

*@

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Question: `qCompletion of Model second problem: grade average Give your data in the form of grade vs. clock time ordered pairs.

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Your solution:

Percent of assignments reviewed grade average

0 .9258546

10 1.36495

20 1.750933

30 2.090227

40 2.388479

50 2.650655

60 2.881118

70 3.083704

80 3.261786

90 3.418326

100 3.555931

confidence rating #$&*:

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Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION: Grade vs. percent of assignments reviewed

(0, 1)

(10, 1.790569)

(20, 2.118034)

(30, 2.369306)

(40, 2.581139)

(50, 2.767767)

(60, 2.936492)

(70, 3.09165)

(80, 3.236068)

(90, 3.371708)

(100, 3.5). **

&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&

Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating:

*********************************************

Question: `qWhat three points on your graph did you use as a basis for your model?

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

(20, 1.75)

(50, 2.65)

(90, 3.41)

confidence rating #$&*: 3

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED:

(20, 2.118034)

(50, 2.767767)

(100, 3.5)**

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating:

*********************************************

Question: `qGive the first of your three equations.

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

1.75=400a+20b+c

confidence rating #$&*: 3

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: 400a + 20b + c = 2.118034**

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating: ok

*********************************************

Question: `qGive the second of your three equations.

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

2.65=2500a+50b+c

confidence rating #$&*:3

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: 2500a + 50b + c = 2.767767 **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating: ok

*********************************************

Question: `qGive the third of your three equations.

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

3.41=8100a+90b+c

confidence rating #$&*:3

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: 10,000a + 100b + c = 3.5 **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

Ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating: ok

*********************************************

Question: `qGive the first of the equations you got when you eliminated c.

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

2.65=2500a+50b+c

-1.75=-400a-20b-c

.9=2100a+30b

confidence rating #$&*: 3

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: 7500a + 50b = .732233. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating:ok

*********************************************

Question: `qGive the second of the equations you got when you eliminated c.

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

3.41=8100a+90b+c

-1.75=-400a-20b-c

1.66=7700a+70b

confidence rating #$&*: 3

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: Subracting the first equation from the third I go

9600a + 80b = 1.381966 **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating: ok

*********************************************

Question: `qExplain how you solved for one of the variables.

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

1.66=7700a+70b (3)

.9=2100a+30b (7)

4.98=23100a+210b

-6.3=-14700a-210b

-1.32=8400a

-1.32/8400=a

confidence rating #$&*: 3

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: In order to solve for a, I eliminated the variable b. In order to do this, I multiplied the first new equation by 80 and the second new equation by -50. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

Ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating: ok

*********************************************

Question: `qWhat values did you get for a and b?

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

-1.32/8400=a

.041=b

confidence rating #$&*: 1

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED:

a = -.0000876638

b = .01727 **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating: ok

*********************************************

Question: `qWhat did you then get for c?

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

1.75=400(-1.32/8400)+20(.041)+c

1.75=-.0628+.82+c

1.75=.7572+c

C=.9928

confidence rating #$&*:

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: c = 1.773. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

Ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating: ok

*********************************************

Question: `qWhat is your function model?

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

Y=(-1.32/8400)x^2+(.041)x+.9928

confidence rating #$&*: 2

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** y = -.0000876638 x^2 + (.01727)x + 1.773 **

STUDENT QUESTION

Hello! I am working on the Modeling Project #1 still and I am having such issues with the data sets for the rest of the

worksheet. I keep reading and I see that your doing grade average versus percentage of assignments, but I am confused on what

it is asking or what method I am supposed to be using. I got the first question, solving for a, b, and c and I am familiar

with the quadratic forumla, I am just missing something on how to start these next two problems.

Could you give me a boost to what to do?

INSTRUCTOR RESPONSE

What that boils down to can be summarized by a table.

For example, consider the following

x y

2 20

5 50

12 130

From this table and the form y = a x^2 + b x + c you get the equations

20 = 4 a + 2 b + c

50 = 25 a + 5 b + c

130 = 144 a + 12 b + c

which you can solve by elimination, as you did with the first question.

Now you are given data for grade ave. vs. percent of review.

• You could make a table of y vs. x, with y the grade average and x the percent of review.

• You could replace the heading 'x' in the first column with the identifier 'percent of review' and the 'y' in the second column with 'grade ave', so your table would represent percent of review vs. grade average.

Your table would have several additional rows (one additional row for every 'data point').

• You are instructed to choose three data points, and to base your model on those three points.

• You could for example make a 'shortened table' with just the three points you choose, very similar to the table given above (but with different numbers).

• To get a quadratic model you would again use the form y = a x^2 + b x + c to get three equations, one for each point.

• Solving the equations for a, b and c and plugging those values back into the form y = a x^2 + b x + c gives you your model.

Let me know if this doesn't help.

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Self-critique (if necessary):

Ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating: ok

*********************************************

Question: `qWhat is your percent-of-review prediction for the given range of grades (give grade range also)?

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

I used the given solution because my solution is not a very good representation of the data.

(-b+-sqrt(b^2-4ac))/(2a)

3.3= 68.67739423 and 145.6083201

68%

confidence rating #$&*: 1

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** The precise solution depends on the model desired average.

For example if the model is y = -.00028 x^2 + .06 x + .5 (your model will probably be different from this) and the grade average desired is 3.3 we would find the percent of review x corresponding to grade average y = 3.3 then we have

3.3 = -.00028 x^2 + .06 x + .5.

This equation is easily solved using the quadratic formula, remembering to put the equation into the required form a x^2 + b x + c = 0.

We get two solutions, x = 69 and x = 146. Our solutions are therefore 69% grade review, which is realistically within the 0 - 100% range, and 146%, which we might reject as being outside the range of possibility.

To get a range you would solve two equations, on each for the percent of review for the lower and higher ends of the range.

In many models the attempt to solve for a 4.0 average results in an expression which includes the square root of a negative number; this indicates that there is no real solution and that a 4.0 is not possible. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating: ok

*********************************************

Question: `qWhat grade average corresponds to the given percent of review (give grade average also)?

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

Y=-.00028x^2+.06x+.5

Y= -.00028(4624)+.06(68)+.5

Y= -1.29+4.08+.5

Y= 3.29

confidence rating #$&*: 1

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** Here you plug in your percent of review for the variable. For example if your model is y = -.00028 x^2 + .06 x + .5 and the percent of review is 75, you plug in 75 for x and evaluate the result. The result gives you the grade average corresponding to the percent of review according to the model. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating: ok

*********************************************

Question: `qHow well does your model fit the data (support your answer)?

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

My model does not fit the data well at all.

Percent of assignments grade average prediction deviation

0 .9258546 .9928 .0669454

10 1.36495 1.387 .02205

20 1.750933 1.749 -.011933

30 2.090227 2.081 -.009227

40 2.388479 2.381 -.007479

50 2.650655 2.649 -.001655

60 2.881118 2.887 .005882

70 3.083704 3.092 .008296

80 3.261786 3.267 -.005214

90 3.418326 3.409 -.009326

100 3.555931 3.521 -.034931

confidence rating #$&*: 2

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** You should have evaluated your function at each given percent of review-i.e., at 0, 10, 20, 30, . 100 to get the predicted grade average for each. Comparing your results with the given grade averages shows whether your model fits the data. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

Ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating: ok

*********************************************

Question: `qillumination vs. distance

Give your data in the form of illumination vs. distance ordered pairs.

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

(1,1280)

(2,320)

(3,142.2222)

(4,80)

(5,51.2)

(6,35.55556)

(7,26.12245)

(8,20)

(9,15.80247)

(10,12.8)

confidence rating #$&*: 2

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION: (1, 935.1395)

(2, 264..4411)

(3, 105.1209)

(4, 61.01488)

(5, 43.06238)

(6, 25.91537)

(7, 19.92772)

(8, 16.27232)

(9, 11.28082)

(10, 9.484465)**

&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&

Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating: ok

*********************************************

Question: `qWhat three points on your graph did you use as a basis for your model?

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

(1,1280)

(4,80)

(8,20)

confidence rating #$&*: 2

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED:

(2, 264.4411)

(4, 61.01488)

(8, 16.27232) **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

Ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating:

*********************************************

Question: `qGive the first of your three equations.

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

1280=a+b+c

confidence rating #$&*: 2

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: 4a + 2b + c = 264.4411**

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating: ok

*********************************************

Question: `qGive the second of your three equations.

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

80=16a+4b+c

confidence rating #$&*: 2

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: 16a + 4b + c = 61.01488**

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating: ok

*********************************************

Question: `qGive the third of your three equations.

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

20=64a+8b+c

confidence rating #$&*: 2

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: 64a + 8b + c = 16.27232**

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating: ok

*********************************************

Question: `qGive the first of the equations you got when you eliminated c.

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

80=16a+4b+c

-1280=-a-b-c

-1200=15a+3b

confidence rating #$&*: 2

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: 48a + 4b = -44.74256**

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating: ok

*********************************************

Question: `qGive the second of the equations you got when you eliminated c.

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

20=64a+8b+c

-1280=-a-b-c

-1260=63a+7b

confidence rating #$&*: 2

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: 60a + 6b = -248.16878**

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Self-critique (if necessary):

Ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating: ok

*********************************************

Question: `qExplain how you solved for one of the variables.

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

I did the following:

-1260=63a+7b (3)

-1200=15a+3b (7)

-3780=189a+21b

+8400=-105a-21b

4620=84a

A=55

confidence rating #$&*: 2

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: I solved for a by eliminating the variable b. I multiplied the first new equation by 4 and the second new equation by -6 **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating: ok

*********************************************

Question: `qWhat values did you get for a and b?

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

A=55

B=-675

confidence rating #$&*: 3

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: a = 15.088, b = -192.24 **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

Ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating: ok

*********************************************

Question: `qWhat did you then get for c?

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

80=16(55)+4(-675)+c

80=880-2700+c

80=-1820+c

1900=c

confidence rating #$&*: 1

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: c = 588.5691**

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating: ok

*********************************************

Question: `qWhat is your function model?

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

Y=(55)x^2+(-675)x+(1900)

confidence rating #$&*: 2

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: y = (15.088) x^2 - (192.24)x + 588.5691 **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating: ok

*********************************************

Question: `qWhat is your illumination prediction for the given distance (give distance also)?

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

When I plug 1.6 into x I get 4.372 and 7.8997

confidence rating #$&*: 1

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** STUDENT SOLUTION CONTINUED: The given distance was 1.6 Earth distances from the sun. My illumination prediction was 319.61 w/m^2, obtained by evaluating my function model for x = 1.6. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

ok

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique Rating: ok

*********************************************

Question: `qWhat distances correspond to the given illumination range (give illumination range also)?

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

At what range of distances from the star would the illumination be comfortable for reading, if reading comfort occurs in the range from 25 to 100 Watts per square meter?

When y=25, x=4.248

When y=100, x=3.916

confidence rating #$&*: 2

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** The precise solution depends on the model and the range of averages.

For example if the model is y =9.4 r^2 - 139 r + 500 and the illumination range is 25 to 100 we would find the distance r corresponding to illumination y = 25, then the distance r corresponding to illumination y = 100, by solving the equations

25=9.4 r^2 - 139 r + 500

and

100 =9.4 r^2 - 139 r + 500

Both of these equations are easily solved using the quadratic formula, remembering to put both into the required form a r^2 + b r + c = 0. Both give two solutions, only one solution of each having and correspondence at all with the data.

The solutions which correspond to the data are

r = 3.9 when y = 100 and r = 5.4 when y = 25.

So when the distance x has range 3.9 - 5.4 the illumination range is 25 to 100.

Note that a quadratic model does not fit this data well. Sometimes data is quadratic in nature, sometimes it is not. We will see as the course goes on how some situations are accurately modeled by quadratic functions, while others are more accurately modeled by exponential or power functions. **

""

"

Self-critique (if necessary):

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique rating:

*********************************************

Question: `qWhat distances correspond to the given illumination range (give illumination range also)?

YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Your solution:

At what range of distances from the star would the illumination be comfortable for reading, if reading comfort occurs in the range from 25 to 100 Watts per square meter?

When y=25, x=4.248

When y=100, x=3.916

confidence rating #$&*: 2

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.............................................

Given Solution:

** The precise solution depends on the model and the range of averages.

For example if the model is y =9.4 r^2 - 139 r + 500 and the illumination range is 25 to 100 we would find the distance r corresponding to illumination y = 25, then the distance r corresponding to illumination y = 100, by solving the equations

25=9.4 r^2 - 139 r + 500

and

100 =9.4 r^2 - 139 r + 500

Both of these equations are easily solved using the quadratic formula, remembering to put both into the required form a r^2 + b r + c = 0. Both give two solutions, only one solution of each having and correspondence at all with the data.

The solutions which correspond to the data are

r = 3.9 when y = 100 and r = 5.4 when y = 25.

So when the distance x has range 3.9 - 5.4 the illumination range is 25 to 100.

Note that a quadratic model does not fit this data well. Sometimes data is quadratic in nature, sometimes it is not. We will see as the course goes on how some situations are accurately modeled by quadratic functions, while others are more accurately modeled by exponential or power functions. **

""

"

Self-critique (if necessary):

------------------------------------------------

Self-critique rating:

#*&!

&#Your work looks good. See my notes. Let me know if you have any questions. &#