Assignment 19 Query

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course MTH 152

4/10 11

019. ``q Query 19*********************************************

Question: `q Query problem 13.6.9 wt vs ht 62,120; 62,140; 63,130; 65,150; 66,142; 67,13068,175; 68,135; 70,149; 72,168. Give the regression equation and the predicted weight when height is 70.

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Your solution:

In order to find the weight of a man when his height is 70 inches, we must create an equation that predicts the weight in correlation with the height. The equation we must use in order to find the weight is y=3.35x-78.4. If we substitute x for 70, we can complete the equation to find the outcome of y. In this equation y will be equal to the weight of the man. 3.35 multiplied by 70 is 234.5. When we subtract 78.4 from 234.5 we find that the total weight of the man is about 156.1.

confidence rating #$&*: OK

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Given Solution:

`aThe equation is obtained by substituting the weights for y and the heights for x in the formula for the regression line.

You get

y = 3.35 x - 78.4.

To predict weight when height is 70 you plug x = 70 into the equation:

y = 3.35 * 70 - 78.4.

You get

y = 156,

so the predicted weight for a man 70 in tall is 156 lbs. **

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Self-critique (if necessary): OK

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Self-critique Rating: OK

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Question: `q Query problem 13.6.12 reading 83,76, 75, 85, 74, 90, 75, 78, 95, 80; IQ 120, 104, 98, 115, 87, 127, 90, 110, 134, 119

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Your solution:

In order to find the equation of a regression line for this group of IQ scores we must find the total combination of both x and y values. The sum of all x values in the table is 811. When we square this total we get 66225. The sum of all y values in the table is 1104. When we square this total we get 124060. The sum of x and y, which we get by multiplying each corresponding x and y value then adding each result together, is 90437. We can use these numbers to create an equation of [10(90437)-(811)(1104)]/[10(66225)-(811^2)]. This equation is equal to 1.993. For the next step in the problem, we must fashion another equation. This one reads [1104-(1.993)(811)]/10. This equation is equal to -51.23. Therefore, the equation of the regression line is y'=1.993x-51.23.

confidence rating #$&*: 3

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Given Solution:

`a

n = 10

sum x = 811

sum x ^2 = 66225

sum y = 1104

sum y^2 = 124060

sum xy = 90437

a = [10(90437) - (811)(1104)] / [10(66225) - (811^2)] = 1.993

a = 1.99

b = [1104 - (1.993)(811) / 10 = -51.23

y' = 1.993x - 51.23 is the eqation of the regression line.

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STUDENT QUESTION

How did you get sum x ^2 = 66225??? Is it not 811 * 811 = 657721?

How did you come up with sum y^2 = 124060??? Is it not 1104 * 1104 = 1218816?

I worked it out, can you tell me where I went wrong??? And I will try to rework the problem.

INSTRUCTOR RESPONSE

You didn't distinguish between sum x^2 and (sum x)^2.

Sum x^2 means you figure out x^2 for every value of x, then add them. Remember that exponentiation precedes addition.

(sum x)^2 means you add all the x values then square them.

The same comment applies to sum y^2 vs. (sum y)^2.

You didn't ask, but sum xy can also be confusing:

• Sum xy means multiply each x value by the corresponding y value, then add the products. This is order of operations: multiplication before addition

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Self-critique (if necessary): OK

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Self-critique Rating: OK

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Question: `q Query problem 13.6.15 years 0-5, sales 48, 59, 66, 75, 80, 89

What is the coefficient of correlation and how did you obtain it?

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Your solution:

In order to find the coefficient of correlation, we must first find the sums of the values in the table. The sum of all x values in the table equal 15. When we square this value we get 55. The sum of all y values in the table equal 418. The sum of x and y together equals 1186. In addition, we must find that Ey^2 is equal to 16. We need also remember that n is equal to 6, as 6 is the number of pairs in the data. We can use all these sums to construct an equation and discover that the coefficient of correlation is .996.

confidence rating #$&*: 3

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Given Solution:

`a **STUDENT SOLUTION:

X Y XY X^2 Y^2

0 48 0 0 2304

1 59 59 1 3481

2 66 132 4 4356

3 75 225 9 5626

4 80 320 16 6400

5 90 450 25 8100

Sums=

15 418 1186 55 30266

The coefficient of the correlation: r = .996

I found the sums of the following:

x = 15, y = 418, x*y = 1186, x^2 = 55

n = 6 because there are 6 pairs in the data

I also had to find Ey^2 = 30266

I used the following formula:

r = 6(1186) - 15(418) / sq.root of 6(55) - (15)^2 * sq. root of 6(30266) - (418)^2 =

846 / sq. root of 105 * 6872 = 846 / sq. root of 721560 = 846 / 849.4 = .996 **

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Self-critique (if necessary): OK

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Self-critique Rating: OK

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Question: `q Query problem 13.6.24 % in West, 1850-1990, .8% to 21.2%

What population is predicted in the year 2010 based on the regression line?

What is the equation of your regression line and how did you obtain it?

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Your solution:

In order to find the equation of a regression line for the population of the year 2010 we must first find the sums of x and y. The sum of x is 56. This value squared is 560. The sum of y is 77.7. This value squared is 1110.43. The sum of x and y together is 786.4. Using these sums we find that the value of a will be equal to 1.44, the value of b will be equal to -.39, and the value of r is equal to .99. If we look to the table and note the pattern of the regression line, we can conclude that the next number in the x sequence will be 16. This gives us an equation of y' = 1.44(16) - .39 = 22.65. When we solve the equation we discover that the population of 2010 will increase by 22.65%.

confidence rating #$&*: 3

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Given Solution:

`aSTUDENT SOLUTION:

Calculating sums and regression line:

n = 8

sum x = 56

sum x^2 = 560

sum = 77.7

sum y^2 = 1110.43

sum xy = 786.4

a = 1.44

b = -.39

r = .99

In the year 2010 the x value will be 16.

y' = 1.44(16) - .39 = 22.65.

There is an expected 22.65% increase in population by the year 2010. **

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Self-critique (if necessary): OK

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Self-critique Rating: OK

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