open query 26

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course MTH 163

If your solution to stated problem does not match the given solution, you should self-critique per instructions at http://vhcc2.vhcc.edu/dsmith/geninfo/labrynth_created_fall_05/levl1_22/levl2_81/file3_259.htm.

Your solution, attempt at solution. If you are unable to attempt a solution, give a phrase-by-phrase interpretation of the problem along with a statement of what you do or do not understand about it. This response should be given, based on the work you did in completing the assignment, before you look at the given solution.

026. `query 26

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Question: `qGive the rabbit populations for the first 12 months. Explain how each new population is obtained,

and what your method for obtaining the new population has to do with the assumed nature of rabbit reproduction.

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Your solution:

If you start with a pair of newborns, it will take them one month to mature. So at the end of the first month you will still have just 1 pair of rabbits. And then after another month, there will be 2 pairs of rabbits. The next month there will be 2 pairs plus 1 pair and hten 2 pairs plus 2 pairs, and then 5 pairs plus 3 pairs and then 8 pairs plus 4 pairs, etc.

confidence rating #$&*: 2

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Given Solution:

`a** Our assumptions are that rabbits require a month after birth to mature, mature rabbbits produce a pair of newborns

every month starting the first month after they reach maturity, and rabbits never die. Every month the number of newborn

pairs is equal to the number of mature pairs in the preceding month, which is equal to the total number of pairs from the

month before that. Since all the rabbits from the preceding month are still present, the total number in the new month will

be equal to the total number from the preceding month plus the number of newborns, which is equal to the total number

from the preceding month plus the month before that.

If we start with 1 pair of newborns then 1 month later we have a pair of mature rabbits, so after another month we have 2

pairs of rabbits. Our first three numbers are therefore 1, 1 and 2.

In the next month we will have the 2 pairs we had in the preceding month plus 1 pair of newborns from the pair we had

the month before that for a total of 3 pairs.

In the next month we will have the 3 pairs we had in the preceding month plus 2 pairs of newborns from the pair we had

the month before that for a total of 5 pairs.

In the next month we will have the 5 pairs we had in the preceding month plus 3 pairs of newborns from the pair we had

the month before that for a total of 8 pairs.

The pattern continues

8 + 5 = 13

13 + 8 = 21

21 + 13 = 34

etc. . **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

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Question: `qExplain how the rule a(n) = a(n-1) + a(n-2) is related to the enumeration of the rabbit population.

A(n) would be equal to the total number of rabbits, (n) would be the month. A(n-1) would be total for the previous month and then a(n-2) is equal to the total for the prior 2 months.

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Question: `qSTUDENT ANSWER: a(n) is total number of rabbits for month(n) a(n-1) is total for previous

month a(n-2) is total for 2 months previous which is total mature for 1 month previous

INSTRUCTOR COMMENT: Good. In terms of the solution given for the preceding exercise:

In the nth we will have the a(n-1) pairs we had in the preceding month plus a(n-2) pairs of newborns from the a(n-2) pairs

we had the month before that for a total of a(n) = a(n-1) + a(n-2) pairs.

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Question: `qWhat are your ratios a(n) / a(n-1) for n = 1, 2, 3, 4, ..., 10, and what does your graph of ratio vs. n

look like?

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Your solution:

1, 2, 1.5, 1.66, 1.6, 1.625, 1.615, 1.619, 1.6176 1.6181 1.61797 are the ratios.

It would be a jagged graph.

confidence rating #$&*: 2

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Given Solution:

`a** The ratios are 1, 2, 1.5, 1.66, 1.6, 1.625, 1.615, 1.619, 1.6176 1.6181 1.61797 etc.

The graph is jagged, up one time, down the next, but jumping less and less each time.

If you were to make a horizontal line through two successive graph points, all subsequent points would be 'squeezed'

between these lines.

COMMON ERROR: The ratios are 1, 2, 1.5, 1.7, 1.6, 1.6, 1.6, ... .

You rounded off before you could see the difference in the last 3 results. If you don't see a difference in the ratios you

need to use more significant figures--carry your calculation out to enough decimal places that the differences show. **

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Question: `q problem 8 Use the Fibonacci sequence data points for n = 5 and n = 10 to obtain an

exponential model in the form y = a b^x.

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Your solution:

8 = A b^5

89 = A b^10

11.125 = b^5,

b = (11.125)^1/5 = 1.619.

8 = A * (1.619)^5

A= .711.

y = .719 * 1.619^x

confidence rating #$&*: 3

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Given Solution:

`a** You would use the points (5, 8) and (10,89) for your y = A b^x model. You would get the equations

8 = A b^5

89 = A b^10

Dividing the second equation by the first you would get

11.125 = b^5, so

b = (11.125)^1/5 = 1.619.

Substituting into the first equation we get

8 = A * (1.619)^5

A = 8 /(1.619)^5 = .711.

So the model is y = .719 * 1.619^x. **

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Question: `qWhat are the values predicted by your model for the first 10 members of the Fibonacci sequence?

What is the average error of your approximation?

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Your solution:

0.719, 1.163342, 1.882287356, 3.045540942, 4.927685244, 7.972994725, 12.90030547, 20.87269424, 33.77201928, 54.6431272

The average error is -.017

confidence rating #$&*:2

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Given Solution:

`a** For x = 0, 1, 2, ..., 9 the formula gives us values 0.719, 1.163342, 1.882287356, 3.045540942, 4.927685244,

7.972994725, 12.90030547, 20.87269424, 33.77201928, 54.6431272.

These numbers differ from the Fibonnaci numbers 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55 by

-0.281, 0.163342. -0.117712644, 0.045540942, -0.072314756, -0.027005275, -0.099694535, -.127305757,

-0.22798071, and -0.356872798.

These are the errors in the function. The average of these errors is easily found by adding the errors and dividing by 10,

obtaining an average of about -.016. **

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Your solution:

I got -0.017 for my average error. I hope this is close enough.

confidence rating #$&*: 2

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Given Solution:

`aIf mature rabbits were to produce two baby pairs per month, what then would be the definition of the Fibonacci-type

sequence that models the situation where we start with 1 pair of baby rabbits, and what would be population be at the

end of each of the first 6 months?{}{}** Remember that the total number of pairs in month n-2 will be the number of

mature pairs in month n - 1, which will produce the newborns in month n.

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Your solution:

1 + 2 * 1 = 3

3 + 2 * 1 = 5

5 + 2 * 3 = 11

11 + 2 * 5 = 21

21 + 2 * 11 = 43

43+2*21=85

and so on

confidence rating #$&*: 3

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Given Solution:

`aThe model would give 2 baby pairs for each mature pair; in month n the number of mature pairs is a(n-2), so there

would be 2 a(n-2) baby pairs in month n. The a(n-1) pairs from the previous month would also survive, giving a

population of a(n) = a(n-1) + 2 a(n-2).

The numbers would be 1, 1, 3, 5, 11, 21, 43, ...... . e.g, 1 + 2 * 1 = 3; 3 + 2 * 1 = 5; 5 + 2 * 3 = 11; 11 + 2 * 5 = 21;

21 + 2 * 11 = 43 etc.. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

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Question: `qHow would the Fibonacci model change if rabbits required two months to mature, with each

mature pair still producing 1 pair of baby rabbits per month?ith each mature pair still producing 1 pair of baby rabbits per

month?

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Your solution:

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Given Solution:

`a** The number of baby pairs in month n would be the number of mature pairs from the month before, which would be

the total number of pairs from 2 months previous to that, so we would be looking back 3 months to the population a(n-3).

There would be a(n-3) mature pairs in month n-1 which would give a(n-3) baby pairs in month n. The rabbits from

month n-1 would still survive so we would have a(n) = a(n-1) + a(n-3).

Note that to get started with this model we would need the populations for the first three months. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

This one I am not sure about. Does it go like the others, but just the first numbers change or the numbers are pushed back?

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All the numbers would change.

You would have 1 pair at the start.

At the end of the first and the second month you would still have one pair, because the rabbits would just be reaching maturity.

The next month you would have an additional pair, giving you 2 pairs; and the following month the original pair would produce another new pair for a total of 3 pairs. The pair born in the third month would reach maturity, giving you two mature pairs.

As a result you would in the next month get two additional pairs.

Etc..

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Question: `qproblems 12-16

How did you describe how to reason out the dosage D required for a desired level L of a drug if proportion r of the drug

present immediately after a dose has been removed at the time of the next dose.

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Your solution:

(L + D) * ( 1 - r) = L

confidence rating #$&*:

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Given Solution:

`a** If proportion r has been removed to give concentration L, then 1-r of the amount immediately after the dose will

remain.

The amount immediately after the dose is L + D so we have (L + D) * ( 1 - r) = L.

You then solve this equation for L:

Expanding the left-hand side we have L(1-r) + D(1-r) = L, or L - r L + D - r D = L.

Rearranging the equation to isolate L we get

- r L = - ( D - r D), or

L = ( D - r D) / r

= ( 1-r) / r * D. **

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Your solution:

I didn’t go further past the first equation

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Given Solution:

`aStarting with a dose of 429 mg at the instant the concentration of a drug reaches 1000 mg, and knowing that 30% of

the drug is removed in 6 hours, what exponential function models the amount of drug vs. time for the 6-hour interval

between doses?

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Your solution:

When t=6, y is 30% less than A so y =0.7A.

.7 A = A b ^ 6 and b = .7 ^(1/6) = .942

y = A * .942 ^ t is the model

confidence rating #$&*: 2

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Given Solution:

`a** We need an exponential function y = A * b^t (note that when t = 0 y = A) such that when t = 6, y is 30% less than

A, or y = .7 A.

Thus .7 A = A b ^ 6 and b = .7 ^(1/6) = .942.

Our model is thus y = A * .942 ^ t.

Since when t = 0 we have y = 1429 mg, the model is y = 1429 mg * .942^t. **

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Question: `qWhat dosage is required to maintain a minimum level of 800 mg if 70% of the drug is removed

between doses?

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Your solution:

(D + 800 mg) ( 1 - .7) = 800 mg

D = 560 mg / .3 = 1866.6 mg

confidence rating #$&*: 3

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Given Solution:

`a** The minimum level occurs just before the next dose, and must be 70% of the maximum level which occurs just after

the dose.

If D is the dose and 800 mg is the level just before the does, then just after the dose the level is 800 mg + D.

This level falls to 70%, i.e., to .70 ( 800 mg + D), just before the next dose. This level should be 800 mg.

We therefore want

( D + 800 mg) ( 1 - .7) = 800 mg.

Subtracting 1 - .7 to get .3, and multiplying this through the grouped expression on the left we get

.3 D + 800 mg * .3 = 800 mg so

.3 D = 800 mg - .3 * 800 mg = 560 mg and

D = 560 mg / .3 = 1867 mg (check my arithmetic). **

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Question: `qWhat will be the maintenance dose of a drug, given a dose of 500 mg with 35% of the drug

removed between doses?

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Your solution:

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Given Solution:

`a** The way this question is stated, with the word 'dose' used for two different quantities, is incorrect. With this

miswording you have the choice of lett 500 mg stand for the dose, or for the maintenance level.

If 500 mg is read as the dose, then the maintenance level is

L = ( 1-r) / r * D = (1 - .35) / .35 * D = .65 / .35 * D = 930 mg, approx..

If you read this as a 500 mg maintenence level then we L = 500 mg and r = .35 so we have

L = ( 1-r) / r * D so that

D = r / (1-r) * L = .35 / (1-.35) * 500 = .35 / .65 * 500 = 269.23.

This is the dose required to maintain a 500 mg level.

If you read this as saying that

I believe you might have added the .3 * 800 mg to both sides, which would have given you something a lot like the 3467

mg you got. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

I am very very confused on this one.

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Can you be more specific?

Basically maintenence occurs when the amount lost from one dose to the next matches the amount of the dose.

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Question: `qIf a patient starts with no drug in her body and takes a 500 mg dose every six hours, losing 40% of

the after-dose amount during that time, then how much drug will remain six hours after the initial dose?

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Your solution:

.60 * 1153 mg = 692

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Given Solution:

`a** In the time between doses concentration will fall to .60 of the after-dose concentration.

Just before the second dose the level will be .60 * 500 mg = 300 mg. Just after the second dose the level will be 300 mg

+ 500 mg = 800 mg.

Just before the third dose the level will be .60 * 800 mg = 480 mg. Just after the third dose the level will be 480 mg +

500 mg = 980 mg.

Just before the fourth dose the level will be .60 * 980 mg = 588 mg. Just after the fourth dose the level will be 588 mg +

500 mg = 1088 mg.

Just before the fifth dose the level will be .60 * 1088 mg = 653 mg approx.. Just after the fifth dose the level will be 653

mg + 500 mg = 1153 mg. approx.

Just before the sixth dose the level will be .60 * 1153 mg = 692 mg approx.. **

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Question: `qWhat sort of function do you think would model the just-before-dose drug concentration?

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Your solution:

Exponential

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Given Solution:

`a** The increases in mg are 180, 108, 65, 39, 24.

108/180 = .6;

65/108=/6;

39/65=.6;

24/39=.6.

The ratio sequence for the increases is constant. This implies an exponential function. **

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Add comments on any surprises or insights you experienced as a result of this assignment.

"

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Add comments on any surprises or insights you experienced as a result of this assignment.

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#*&!

&#This looks good. See my notes. Let me know if you have any questions. &#