Assignment 18

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course Mth 152

8/3 131am

If your solution to stated problem does not match the given solution, you should self-critique per instructions at

http://vhcc2.vhcc.edu/dsmith/geninfo/labrynth_created_fall_05/levl1_22/levl2_81/file3_259.htm.

Your solution, attempt at solution.

If you are unable to attempt a solution, give a phrase-by-phrase interpretation of the problem along with a statement of what you do or do not understand about it. This response should be given, based on the work you did in completing the assignment, before you look at the given solution.

018. ``q Query 18

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Question: `q Query problem 13.5.12 percent above 115 IQ, mean 100 std dev 15

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Your solution:

115-100=15

15/15=1

Z=1

confidence rating #$&* 2

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Given Solution:

`aThe z-score is measured relative to the mean. The mean is 100, and you need to measure the z score of 115.

115 is 15 units from the mean, which gives you a z-score of 15 / 15 = 1.

The table tells you that .341 of the distribution lies between the mean and z = 1.

You want the proportion beyond 115. Since half the distribution lies to the right of the mean, and .341 of the distribution lies between the mean and z = 1, we conclude that .5 - .341 = .159 of the distribution lies to the right of z = 1.

It follows that .159, or 15.9% of the distribution exceeds an IQ of 115. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

I got half the problem right. I couldn’t remember to use the .5 to figure out the rest. I knew to look at the table for .341 but I couldn’t figure out what else to do. I understand though that you use the .5 since half lies between the mean.

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Self-critique rating #$&* 3

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Question: `q Query problem 13.5.20 area between z=-1.74 and z=-1.14

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Your solution:

.459-.373=.086

confidence rating #$&*

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Given Solution:

`aAccording to the table the z score for -1.74 is .373 and the z score for -1.14 is .459, meaning that .373 of the distribution lies between the mean and z = -1.73 and .459 of the distribution lies between the mean and z = -1.14.

Since -1.74 and -1.14 both lie on the same side of the mean, the region between the mean and -1.74 contains the region between the mean and -1.14. The region lying between z = -1.14 and z = -1.74 is therefore that part of the .459 that doesn't include the .373.

The proportion between z = -1.14 and z = -1.74 is therefore .459 - .373 = .086, or 8.6%. **

`Self-critique (if necessary):

I just put the last part of the solution, I didn’t explain it and I forgot to convert it to a percent.

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Self-critique rating #$&*

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Question: `q Query problem 13.5.30 of 10K bulbs, mean lifetime 600 std dev 50, # between 490 and 720 **** How many bulbs would be expected to last between 490 and 720 hours? **** Describe in detail how you obtained your result.

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Your solution:

Find difference: divide difference and std. dev Z Score

600-490=110 110/50=2.2 =.486

720-600=120 120/50=2.4 =.492

Add z scores.486+.492=.978

Multiply z score and number of total bulbs=9780 bulbs will last the 490 and 720 hours

confidence rating #$&*3

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Given Solution:

`aYou first calculate the z value for each of the given lifetimes 490 hrs and 720 hrs. You should then sketch a graph of the distribution so you can see how the regions are located within the distribution. Then interpret what the table tells you about the proportion of the distribution within each region and apply the result to the given situation.

The details:

The displacement from the mean to 490 is 490 - 600 = - 110 (i.e., 490 lies 110 units to the left of the mean). The z value corresponding to 490 hours is therefore z = -110/50 = -2.2.

The area of the region between the mean and z = -2.2 is found from the table to be .486.

Similarly 720 lies at displacement 720- 600 = 120 from the mean, giving us z = 120/50 = 2.4. The area of the region between the mean and z = 2.4 is shown by the table to be .492.

Since one region is on the negative side and the other on the positive side of the mean, the region lying between z = -2.2 and z = 2.4 contains .486 + .492 = .978 of the distribution.

Out of 10,000 bulbs we therefore expect that .978 * 10,000 = 9780 of the bulbs will last between 490 and 720 hours. **

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Self-critique (if necessary):

I think the only difference I see between mine and your answer is I forgot my negative sign 2.2. But I don’t see that it made a difference. Does it make a difference if you keep or leave out the negative sign?

It makes a big difference if you are going from one z value to the other. If you are just comparing with the mean, it isn't a big deal, but you are often doing the former so you should be careful about the signs.

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Self-critique rating #$&*2

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Question: `q Query problem 13.5.48 A's for > mean + 3/2 s

What percent of the students receive A's, and how did you obtain your result?

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Your solution:

3/2=1.5=.433

.500-.433=.067=67% are As

confidence rating #$&* 3

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Given Solution:

`aA's are given for z scores greater than 1.5.

The area between mean and z = 1.5 is given by the table as .433.

To the right of z = 1.5, corresponding to the A's, we have .500 - .433 = .067 or 6.7% of the total area.

So we expect that 6.7% of the group will receive A's. **

GENERAL ADVICE:

To solve problems of the type covered in this section it is a good idea to follow a strategy something like the following:

1. Find the z-score(s) corresponding to the given values.

2. Look up the corresponding numbers on the table.

3. Sketch a graph of the normal distribution representing what the numbers in the table tell you. Be sure you understand that the table tells you the proportion of the distribution lying between the mean and the given z value.

4. Decide what region of the graph corresponds to the result you are trying to find.

5. Find the proportion of the total area lying within this region.

6. If necessary apply this proportion to the given numbers to get your final result.

See how this procedure is applied in the given solutions. Then you should probably rework the section, being sure your answers agree with those given in the back of the text, and send me questions about anything you aren’t sure you understand.

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Self-critique (if necessary):

I put my decimal in the wrong place. I don’t know what was I thinking but I understand.

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Self-critique rating #$&*

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&#Your work looks good. Let me know if you have any questions. &#

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